Fragile States Index 2015


Partial World Map of the Index of Fragile States Index 2015
Partial World Map of the Index of Fragile States Index 2015








The Fund For Peace released today the Fragile States Index for 2015.
Guinea ranks among the High Alert countries. It is also belongs in the Decade Trends, 2006-2015, “Some Worsening”  States.

The full PDF report (40 pages) is available for download below.

Download (PDF, 3.74MB)

The document is an annual ranking of 178 nations based on their levels of stability and the pressures they face. The Index is based on The Fund for Peace’s proprietary Conflict Assessment Software Tool (CAST) analytical platform. Based on comprehensive social science methodology, data from three primary sources is triangulated and subjected to critical review to obtain final scores for the Fragile States Index. Millions of documents are analyzed every year, and by applying highly specialized search parameters, scores are apportioned for every country based on twelve key political, social and economic indicators and over 100 sub-indicators  that  are  the  result  of  years  of painstaking expert social science research.

The  2015  Fragile  States  Index,  the  11th edition of the annual Index, comprises data collected  between  January  1,  2014  and December  31,  2014 —thus, certain  well-publicized events that have occurred since January 1, 2015 are not covered by the 2015 Index.

The Fragile States Index scores should be interpreted with the understanding that the lower  the  score,  the  better.  Therefore,  a reduced score indicates an improvement, just as a higher score indicates greater instability. For an explanation of the various indicators and their icons, please refer to page 17. Also, in a departure from previous years, readers will  notice  a  significant  de-emphasis  on rankings, as it is our firm belief that a country’s score (and indeed, its indicator scores) are a far more important and accurate indicator of a country’s performance, and that as much as countries should be compared against other countries,  it  is more  useful  to  compare  a country against itself, over time. Hence, our rankings are now printed in reverse order, and our  analysis  now  focuses  more  on  broad categories rather than specific rankings. We have also changed our “Heat Map”, whereby “cooler” colors are now applied to more less at-risk categories. We trust this will provide a less alarming view of the globe.